Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
138 Belmont 0.0%   19 - 11 12 - 4 19 - 11 12 - 4 +1.9      +6.2 41 -4.3 288 76.9 52 +2.4 134 +2.6 1
144 Morehead St. 0.0%   17 - 12 11 - 5 17 - 12 11 - 5 +1.3      -0.4 181 +1.7 122 63.9 316 +0.7 157 +1.2 4
167 Tennessee St. 0.0%   18 - 10 11 - 5 18 - 10 11 - 5 -0.5      -1.7 210 +1.2 141 69.3 190 +0.1 167 +1.3 3
174 Murray St. 0.0%   15 - 14 10 - 6 15 - 14 10 - 6 -0.7      +1.4 140 -2.1 226 62.2 336 -1.5 188 -2.0 6
197 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   17 - 11 11 - 5 17 - 11 11 - 5 -2.2      +2.6 106 -4.7 296 73.1 95 +0.5 161 +2.0 2
201 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   14 - 16 6 - 10 14 - 16 6 - 10 -2.6      +1.2 146 -3.8 274 79.5 20 -4.3 230 -6.4 8
220 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 6 17 - 14 10 - 6 -3.5      -0.1 174 -3.4 265 66.5 269 -2.2 200 -1.7 5
228 Austin Peay 100.0%   16   16 - 17 7 - 9 16 - 17 7 - 9 -3.9      +0.1 169 -4.0 278 72.1 126 -3.0 210 -6.7 9
264 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   11 - 17 9 - 7 11 - 17 9 - 7 -6.4      -2.5 232 -3.9 276 67.0 257 -5.7 247 -2.9 7
293 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 12 6 - 23 4 - 12 -8.7      -4.5 288 -4.2 284 64.0 314 -12.2 321 -9.5 10
309 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   6 - 22 3 - 13 6 - 22 3 - 13 -10.0      -7.1 322 -2.9 254 67.6 239 -10.9 315 -13.1 11
338 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   3 - 24 2 - 14 3 - 24 2 - 14 -13.7      -8.8 335 -4.8 299 75.6 63 -15.6 345 -15.4 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Belmont 1.0 100.0
Morehead St. 2.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 2.0 100.0
Murray St. 5.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 2.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 9.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 5.0 100.0
Austin Peay 8.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 7.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 10.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 11.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Belmont 12 - 4 100.0
Morehead St. 11 - 5 100.0
Tennessee St. 11 - 5 100.0
Murray St. 10 - 6 100.0
Tennessee Tech 11 - 5 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 6 - 10 100.0
Tennessee Martin 10 - 6 100.0
Austin Peay 7 - 9 100.0
Eastern Illinois 9 - 7 100.0
Jacksonville St. 4 - 12 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 3 - 13 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 2 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Belmont 100.0% 100.0
Morehead St.
Tennessee St.
Murray St.
Tennessee Tech
Eastern Kentucky
Tennessee Martin
Austin Peay
Eastern Illinois
Jacksonville St.
SIU Edwardsville
Southeast Missouri St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 100.0% 52.1% 76.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 76.3% 0.8 23.7 76.3
2nd Round 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0